The first real heat wave this summer has just passed in Spain, but some weather forecast models are already pointing to a possible second heat wave for next week, according to the EC model. In the worst-case scenario given by this probability model, we can expect temperatures as high as 48 or 49 degrees in some parts of southern Spain.
the site meteor However he explains it weather prediction More than five to six days in advance is risky. So we’ll have to wait and see to be able to more accurately determine what will happen to the potential heat wave. Uncertainty always increases exponentially as forecasts continue into the future and the margin of error in weather forecasts increases.
Anyway, what seems clear is that an area of very warm air will be moving across the country this weekend. The areas of Spain most affected by the heat will be the eastern half of mainland Spain, as well as the Balearic and Canary Islands.
However, not all models predict temperatures as high as 49 degrees. Other scenarios suggest temperatures just below the extremes. In some cases, temperatures may reach 42- or 43-degrees, and in other scenarios, they may swing around 45-degrees.
Spanish Weather Service AEMET She indicated that the temperatures in the first days of July will be normal for this time of the year, but they will rise significantly towards the end of the week. Ruben del Campo, AEMET spokesman, explains that it will be particularly warm in the center, south and the Balearic Islands and that there will be regular strong storms in the northeast of the mainland, which will develop mainly in the afternoon.
However, after these typical July weather conditions, he warned of “the possibility of a very hot air mass” arriving from Africa, reaching the Spanish mainland next Friday. This will lead to a further increase in temperatures to very high levels in the east and south of the mainland and in the Balearic Islands, although he acknowledges that “there is still uncertainty about the hardest hit areas”.
